Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.203067 0.234368 0.270245 0.314710 0.368754 0.432843 0.515391
2025-05-25 0.155362 0.195225 0.246214 0.317502 0.416714 0.553220 0.761368
2025-06-01 0.126072 0.168222 0.226570 0.315886 0.454179 0.669433 1.050439
2025-06-08 0.105870 0.147761 0.209346 0.310575 0.481548 0.777107 1.375327
2025-06-15 0.094616 0.137347 0.203607 0.319815 0.532785 0.940667 1.888417
2025-06-22 0.083037 0.124190 0.190670 0.313353 0.553512 1.054614 2.369145
2025-06-29 0.075507 0.116129 0.184339 0.316552 0.592787 1.221812 3.100712
2025-07-06 0.068287 0.107464 0.175393 0.312629 0.615936 1.362457 3.879507
2025-07-13 0.063669 0.102555 0.172228 0.319177 0.663906 1.587679 5.167439
2025-07-20 0.059857 0.098529 0.169984 0.327010 0.717447 1.857209 6.977941
2025-07-27 0.056441 0.094768 0.167629 0.334027 0.771452 2.160997 9.447387
2025-08-03 0.053687 0.091893 0.166562 0.343703 0.836289 2.545094 13.178112
2025-08-10 0.050565 0.088041 0.163126 0.347524 0.887726 2.926535 18.034988
2025-08-17 0.047565 0.084122 0.159055 0.349101 0.934055 3.331412 24.653086
2025-08-24 0.044593 0.079948 0.153884 0.346846 0.967913 3.716206 33.025869
2025-08-31 0.041664 0.075574 0.147722 0.340758 0.987065 4.053087 43.033707
2025-09-07 0.040135 0.073936 0.147521 0.351109 1.070593 4.836165 67.480157
2025-09-14 0.037636 0.070019 0.141561 0.343837 1.084568 5.228564 89.285485
2025-09-21 0.036009 0.067820 0.139405 0.347429 1.144780 6.015709 137.365325
2025-09-28 0.034076 0.064789 0.134894 0.343021 1.170118 6.598403 195.466640
2025-10-05 0.032919 0.063364 0.134166 0.350379 1.252282 7.788909 344.846392
2025-10-12 0.031907 0.062174 0.133880 0.359188 1.347038 9.305992 676.090881
2025-10-19 0.030914 0.060937 0.133329 0.367084 1.442942 11.091618 1459.687262